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Normally, economic data and Fed policy would be responsible for the biggest moves in the bond market that underlies mortgage rates. At the moment, however, geopolitical risks and US/China trade policy.
Ironically, mortgage rates could rise in the face of a Fed rate cut. That’s because the Fed could indicate lower-than expected chances of additional rate cuts and stimulus in 2020.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.49% during the week ending Sept. 5, down 9 basis points from the previous week, Freddie Mac FMCC, +4.96% reported Thursday.
After pushing higher in recent weeks, mortgage rates have slid back this week to the lowest levels in a month. And that promises to keep lenders very, very busy, particularly as homeowners spot.
That remained unchanged until December 2015. During the same period, monthly mortgage rates went from 5.29% to 3.96% according to Freddie Mac. While the Fed stood still, mortgage rates fell by 1.33%.
Weaker-than-expected economic data and trade tensions drove down mortgage rates but this week’s announcement by Federal reserve chair jerome H. Powell could have a more profound effect on rates.
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It doesn’t. The Fed doesn’t make mortgage rates. mortgage rates are made on Wall Street. The Federal Reserve has no direct connection to U.S. mortgage rates whatsoever.
Mortgage rates are already down by over 100 basis points since November, so it’s unlikely they will change significantly because of a Fed funds rate cut." Content Square 3.
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Today’s Mortgage Rates and Refinance Rates. 20-Year Fixed Rate 4.625% 4.706% 15-Year Fixed Rate 4.25% 4.352% 7/1 ARM 4.25% 4.779% 5/1 ARM 4.25% 4.869% 30-year fixed-rate jumbo 4.625% 4.634% 15-year fixed-rate jumbo 4.375% 4.391% 7/1 ARM Jumbo 4.125% 4.649% Rates, terms, and fees as of 8/24/2018 10:15 AM Eastern Daylight Time.
One of the ways the Fed does this is by increasing and lowering the cost of borrowing money. These interest rate cuts are.
Mortgage interest rates are no exception – and they are now heading in a direction that wasn’t predicted for 2019: down. Borrowers getting better rates on their mortgages have the Federal Reserve to thank. In December 2018, the Federal Reserve appeared ready to raise its key interest rate twice over the course of the following year.
Federal Reserve cuts its rate, but mortgage rates undecisive. A highly debated move – both in markets and within the Fed itself – resulted in a 0.25% rate cut to the federal funds rate.